Crisis in the PRD and impact in 2012.
After 2 weeks of completion of a primary election, continuing uncertainty about the results, regardless of the final date of delivery thereof and their qualifications, it consider some points about this election.
media manipulation.
While it is regrettable part of the development of the election, the media and some publishers have been ordered to declare everything PRD as corrupt, lying, lying and countless more pejorative synonyms.
In a sense, what happened seems a new negative campaign against the PRD, it seems clear the purpose of generating public a sense of animosity toward the party yellow.
notable exceptions, it is said that the PRD is the only party that makes choices open to renewal its leadership in the polls are closed PRI and the PAN has always been an outstanding board decides the current "democratic" Int. Also need to point out that some of the events "dirty" part of that contest both the PRI party structures and the same PAN, for both Encinas and Jesus Ortega. And of course, such coverage on the issue Mouriño did not have the emphasis and obsession that has won the election of the PRD, especially in electronic media.
The aim of the "campaign" media, is likely to undermine the positions of the PRD about energy reform, but the game around to this proposal, thanks in large part to poor communication federal government policy was apparently won by AMLO.
PRD and 2012.
Beyond the electoral outcome, the big loser of the election is Jesus Ortega.
On the one hand, if the leader of the "mongrels" were to be declared winner, the margin of maneuver in the direction of the PRD will be limited and your chances of getting to yes, the application of 2012 fade. Unlike Alejandro Encinas has never had in mind to achieve that goal and in this sense his loss is significantly lower. The truth is that everyone loses before an election so controversial.
Given this scenario
complicated, the only winners in the medium and long term are teams Cárdenas Batel, Ebrard and Ricardo Monreal, as potential candidates for 2012. Even
clear there are many unknowns, among them, the results of Ebrard in 2009 in the capital, the gain or loss of influence within the PRD, López Obrador, the same evaluation of the management of the same influences Calderón AMLO opportunities, the involvement of Cárdenas Batel is as a future congressman or within the CEN of the PRD, Zacatecas election as a bastion of power Monreal, etc.
In general, those political actors who were betting marginal in this internal process, have greater scope for negotiation and dialogue within the PRD and thus to achieve the nomination in 2012, going from the office after 2009.